Taiwan Stock Market: Key Points for Tomorrow

Tomorrow (14th), the Taiwan stock market is expected to open higher, following the rebound in US stocks. However, with major variables like the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision and the Taiwan Futures expiration this week, market volatility could sharply increase. It's advisable to focus on adjusting your stock holdings and reviewing your cash levels. Here are the key points to note for tomorrow and this week's trading on the Taiwan stock market: 📈 1. International Market: US stock rebound boosts Taiwan Futures night trading up 401 points, acting as a positive catalyst: Last Friday (9/11), the US August CPI rose 3.4% year-on-year, meeting market expectations. WTI crude oil prices fell 3.4%, breaking below $100, easing market panic. All four major US indices closed higher, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) surging 1.81%, ending its four-day losing streak. TSMC ADR also rose 1.22%. Opening Expectation: Fueled by the collective recovery in US stocks, Taiwan Futures night trading surged 401 points on Friday. The Taiwan stock market is expected to follow the US market's lead and open higher tomorrow, potentially recovering the 755 points lost last Friday. ⚠️ 2. This Week's Major Variables: Fed Rate Hike Scenario and 'Triple Witching Day' Coincide. Do not blindly chase highs after tomorrow's opening rally, as major global financial events this week will significantly impact Taiwan's market liquidity: Fed Rate Hike and Monetary Tightening: Currently, CME FedWatch shows an 86% probability of the Fed raising rates by 1 notch this week. The market is closely watching the 'number of rate hikes' scenario. Only a single 1-notch hike and a less hawkish tone would be considered the end of negative news.